Marylin and the Goats
Posted: Thu Feb 17, 2005 8:44 pm
You're playing Let's Make a Deal. You're trying to guess which of the three doors in front of you has a new car behind it. Guess right and you win the car.
You pick a door. Monty Hall then opens another door, behind which there is a goat. he then gives you a choice -- do you want to keep the door you picked, or do you want to switch your pick to the remaining, unopened door?
Now, here's the thing -- are you more likely to win if you switch or if you stand pat? Or does it matter?
You pick a door. Monty Hall then opens another door, behind which there is a goat. he then gives you a choice -- do you want to keep the door you picked, or do you want to switch your pick to the remaining, unopened door?
Now, here's the thing -- are you more likely to win if you switch or if you stand pat? Or does it matter?